Home Southern Africa SA’s Version 3 Budget Less Controversial: Will It Serve Its Purpose?

SA’s Version 3 Budget Less Controversial: Will It Serve Its Purpose?

7
Despite the increase in SA’s debt-to-GDP ratio, National Treasury Director-General Duncan Pieterse stressed the government’s commitment to “fiscal consolidation and stabilising the public finances”.

(3 Minutes Read)

Despite the increase in SA’s debt-to-GDP ratio, National Treasury Director-General Duncan Pieterse stressed the government’s commitment to “fiscal consolidation and stabilising the public finances”.

South African Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana presented a less controversial Budget (version 3), which includes some ‘budget cuts’ but also lower revenue forecasts as GDP growth has been revised down.

But, with the latest budget already getting the backing of the cabinet and the government of national unity (GNU) partners following the VAT increase debacle of the first two budget proposals (later canned), Budget 3.0 is set to be rubber-stamped in parliament.

Godongwana announced that the general fuel levy on petrol will increase by 16c to R4.01 per litre and on diesel by 15c to R3.85 per litre on 4 June 2025. The fuel levy increase was one of the main announcements, but National Treasury officials were quick to caution that the increase is linked to inflation and does not amount to an increase in revenue per se. They said not increasing the fuel levy in recent years was a form of “tax duty relief”.

The government’s U-turn on the VAT hike necessitated the increase, but it would bring in only about R3.5 billion to R4 billion in the current financial year. Despite the increase in SA’s debt-to-GDP ratio, National Treasury Director-General Duncan Pieterse stressed the government’s commitment to “fiscal consolidation and stabilising the public finances”.

Read Also:

https://trendsnafrica.com/south-africa-mulls-ownership-rule-shift-to-enable-starlink-launch/

SA’s fiscal framework and other highlights 

2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28
Total revenue R2 040.2bn

(revised estimate)

R2 200.8bn R2 354.3bn R2 503.2bn
Total expenditure R2 397.8bn R2 578.7bn R2 674.5bn R2 807.5bn
Budget deficit as a percentage of GDP -5% -4.6% -3.8% -3.5%
Debt as a percentage of GDP 76.9% 77.4% 77.2% 76.7%
Debt service costs R385.8bn R426.3bn R447bn R477.5bn
SA GDP 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8%