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The survey undertaken by SABI Strategy showed that the southern African nation will almost certainly have a coalition government after this election
South Africa will go to polls on 29 May. Preparations are underway as some 27 million South Africans are already registered to cast a ballot. Predictions on the outcome of elections galore as most of the forecasts gave the ruling ANC a thumbs down as they felt that the ruling party might lose the majority, forcing it to cobble up an alliance for the first time since the apartheid was abolished.
A recent survey undertaken by the Johannesburg-based Brenthurst Foundation, which was established by the Oppenheimer family, reinforced the ongoing perception. The survey undertaken by SABI Strategy showed that the southern African nation will almost certainly have a coalition government after this election. According to its survey, the ANC has slid further to 39% of the vote. 1506 registered voters participated in the survey, which in all fairness, is a small sample. The survey assumed that the voter turnout would be 66% of the last general election in 2019.
South Africa grapples with issues including record unemployment, a power crisis that’s led to crippling blackouts for homes and businesses, and widespread voter mistrust following a stream of corruption allegations over the years. The respondents list unemployment (28%), corruption (27%), load shedding (17%) weak leadership (12%), and crime (11%) as pressing issues.
The newly founded MK Party which has been endorsed by Jacob Zuma are the apparent winners of the ANC’s waning support, pollsters say. The MK Party which was launched last December and has been endorsed is set to overtake the EFF with 13% of the vote.
The Democratic Alliance (DA) which is led by John Steenhuisen has grown its share of the vote to 27% (from 23% in October last year). The Economic Freedom Fighters of Julius Malema which have been popular among many disenchanted South Africans are losing ground according to the survey unveiled on March 8. Support for the EFF stands at 10%, down from 17% in October.
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An equal number of voters (33%) believe the DA and the ANC are the parties most effective at governing. South Africans vote for a party and not a presidential candidate in a general election. Parties are then allocated places in the 400-seat Parliament according to their share of the vote, and lawmakers elect the president. In the election, South Africans also will vote for the makeup of provincial legislatures in the country’s nine provinces.
